Opinion polls conducted across the country have shown that the UPA is losing ground but is the BJP gaining? CNN-IBN's deputy bureau chief Sumit Pande joined IBNLive readers for an interaction on the issue.
Q. Going by the recent assembly elections, it seems that people are preferring voting to elect a majority government. Do you think if this phenomena can also be replicated at the national level and if so can BJP capitalise on it? Asked by: Aditya
A. For the BJP problem lies in its limited demographic and political footprint...as a party it has little or no presence in much of the south...and the NE...if one looks at the national pic..BJP is in serious contention is less than 280 seats...for it to come closer to a clear majority, it needs a strike rate of over 80 percent.
Q. I think BJP is also not prepared for the Polls that's why it stretching it..their is lot of conflict in the party and its allies. Asked by: raj
A. BJP is as ill prepared for polls as the Congress. Infact, at the moment, no one wants to face elections...one of the reasons Congress is having a relatively easy time in managing numbers.
Q. UPA has certainly lost the ground..but I don't see BJP gaining any..regional parties will benefit from UPA fall..what your say? Asked by: Rohit
A. BJP, as I said earlier has the problem of limited political footprint...so Congress' loss may not necessarily translate into seats for the BJP.
Q. In 1996 led by ABV, BJP with 161 seats was considered as "untouchable". But by 1998, the same BJP with 182 seats attracted quite a few allies, even though there was no change from their 1996 manifesto, which talked of Ram Janmabhumi, Common civil code, Article 370 etc. Don't you think that in case Modi led BJP can get 180+, prospective allies (including JDU), barring Cong/Left/SP, would automatically gravitate towards BJP, even though it is led by Modi? Asked by: bosechem
A. Weak and divided leadership tends to postpone decisions.
Q. Hindutva or Good Governance or Development, which one of this or combo of this will be the plank for 2014 canvassing? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. BJP of 1998 was led by Vajpayee...with huge acceptability...BJP with 180 seats can still form the govt...but the rest 90 seats will have to added on from the allies...that is the crux of the problem.
Q. In spite of all negative happenings in UPA-2 it still enjoys a base of supporters. Will the UPA-2 allies (exc DMK AND TMC who have quit) stick on for 2014? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. BJP has to focus on development...and become should realise that media can't win election.
Q. How far is the BJP ready to get the support of major regional parties like BJD, AIADMK, TDP, TMC post elections? Asked by: Sravan
A. Being the centrist party Congress always has the option of playing the secular card to seek support from regional parties...post polls.
Q. If the BJP is gaining then they should have in Karnataka. So national parties are in disarray. Asked by: Prathap
A. If both the national parties put together get less that 270 seats in the next LS, it will be a govt of regional parties supported by either of them.
Q. How far is the BJP ready to get the support of major regional parties like BJD, AIADMK, TDP, TMC post elections? Asked by: Sravan
A. Much would depend on the compulsions of these regional forces...say for example as TMC has to face the electorate in assembly polls less than two years after gen election...they will have to consider the 25 percent minority votes in WB before taking any call.
Q. A feeling that UPA or NDA both have equal reputation on Corruption issues. Will this mar the results for BJP? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. When general election are held...the voting is for the central govt...local issues tend to have relatively lesser impact.
Q. Can BJP afford to ignore JD(U) and go ahead with strategy of it's choice? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. BJP will need allies...that's the reality of the polity today.
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